Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.656659 3.891079 4.143102 4.436060 4.769677 5.140788 5.589182
2025-05-11 3.363339 3.692101 4.067465 4.534867 5.112041 5.817193 6.771238
2025-05-18 3.091405 3.474677 3.933269 4.537549 5.338675 6.408343 8.037268
2025-05-25 2.816537 3.219543 3.718486 4.404830 5.368064 6.756056 9.119623
2025-06-01 2.626815 3.048097 3.586032 4.356487 5.499975 7.284622 10.742592
2025-06-08 2.474274 2.908185 3.477300 4.322431 5.644212 7.878311 12.878188
2025-06-15 2.365263 2.814360 3.418892 4.349616 5.886961 8.726971 16.362037
2025-06-22 2.235783 2.682092 3.293461 4.258464 5.916050 9.193092 19.540138
2025-06-29 2.106871 2.541462 3.143928 4.111495 5.820585 9.375421 22.231802
2025-07-06 2.008986 2.437488 3.039048 4.023264 5.815895 9.767790 26.820635
2025-07-13 1.980107 2.427734 3.070737 4.159764 6.264189 11.497208 47.831932
2025-07-20 1.942562 2.402541 3.076184 4.251708 6.648068 13.365176 116.778881
2025-07-27 1.908073 2.384649 3.099141 4.393233 7.222496 16.681476 NaN
2025-08-03 1.857596 2.340353 3.077477 4.453062 7.643666 20.302741 NaN
2025-08-10 1.795054 2.274426 3.015954 4.430066 7.859884 23.625837 NaN
2025-08-17 1.715737 2.179037 2.899587 4.286293 7.715185 24.611053 NaN
2025-08-24 1.658070 2.114120 2.829886 4.228967 7.806578 27.906255 NaN
2025-08-31 1.607972 2.058403 2.771904 4.188970 7.943095 32.584556 NaN
2025-09-07 1.571589 2.022134 2.744387 4.209181 8.280728 42.582681 NaN
2025-09-14 1.520645 1.960672 2.669526 4.119701 8.234105 47.501982 NaN
2025-09-21 1.465088 1.889879 2.574907 3.978953 7.980218 47.285880 NaN
2025-09-28 1.421478 1.836507 2.508270 3.894266 7.907323 51.879387 NaN
2025-10-05 1.412112 1.836999 2.536015 4.021517 8.651040 111.210196 NaN